http://www.nanfangdaily.com.cn/zm/20050714/xw/kx/200507140037.asp
۹ѧҶܴţһλʵʵڵĹ
ѧҡ
ǰ˵ѧķֱѧʱǿԡС¥һͳ
ﶬС
ϵʵһЩʵе⡣
˹˵أֻжʮ˿ݣǰ
˵㲻ʵʡŷµļϵȻѧα
бرġ
ǽִҲΪѧķչ˲
Ҳͬ˵ġԴ˿ѧķ롱˵ѧ
ʱǡģһ̶ϵġԡ롰Ǽ
ϵġ
ȻBoltzmann1844һ1906ΪҪɱأ
- posted on 07/26/2005
xw wrote:
˹˵أֻжʮ˿ݣǰ
˵㲻ʵʡŷµļϵȻѧα
бرġ
Ҳͬ˵ġԴ˿ѧķ롱˵ѧ
ʱǡģһ̶ϵġԡ롰Ǽ
ϵġ
ѧûжԴֻ֣֮С͡۲̫ͷѡòͬѧʵһѧơΪǿѡĹߣԲΨһ;ԵġǶԹߵֻǺûáȷֻΨһģıסκιı۾Ͳڿѧķˡ
ΪѧӽѧˡѧһһӦģԴϵĸѧһ£۲ͼѧƵ⣬ѧdzģҲdzġDZȽϽӽʵģʵΪ˵IJģǿ˵κ˵IJжϾġ
˵ԼҲҪ˵Ϳˡ˼Щ
˹²ѧ𣿴ͲǿѧҰɣŷµļϵDzģΪһʵijϵ - Re: 一代宗师黄昆 / 物理和数学的对与错posted on 07/26/2005
ʵΪ˵IJģǿ˵κ˵IJжϾġ
橺ô - posted on 07/26/2005
̸̸ҵĿԴǼֵжϣһ롢ǰơڣѧǶԵĻǴġ롰ڿѧǶԵĻǴġ⡣;Լֵж˵ѧȻ漰ΪԴ漰Сµȸ˻ıѧ̸IJ˵ѧСʱͰ塣Ű˵ǡͶԴ˵ѧûСǡڿѧжУûжԴxw˵ģȻǺߡѧȻжϣֻжϲ˵ǸԼֵ
ﻹ漰һ⣺ȷǷڣܴǾûжԣҵĹ۵㡣˵жDZһֵģ˵ȷдڡʱʵ˵ǡȷԴء˵ѧij˵ѧж٣ѧϵûмٵģÿʽ仰˵࣬ϻ
ƵҲѧϡͬⰢ橵Ĺ۵㣬ѧDzġͨ˵Ĵָûзֵ۴ڵìܡѧ۵ĴҲǶԲԣ
һ⣺ѧѧڸԴһäġƲġ
ѧֵѧ⣬ѧ֮䣬ͼļֵʿʱڣѧѧѧDzֵģţٵʱҲûȫֿɣд鲻ǹȻѧô
ҿѧѧĹϵֱܿܲӵѧԴڲǣԴڱۡ
ͻȻ뵽ѧģΪϸ˵ʲôû˵ȴֿá
wrote:
xw wrote:ѧûжԴֻ֣֮С͡۲̫ͷѡòͬѧʵһѧơΪǿѡĹߣԲΨһ;ԵġǶԹߵֻǺûáȷֻΨһģıסκιı۾Ͳڿѧķˡ
˹˵أֻжʮ˿ݣǰ
˵㲻ʵʡŷµļϵȻѧα
бرġ
Ҳͬ˵ġԴ˿ѧķ롱˵ѧ
ʱǡģһ̶ϵġԡ롰Ǽ
ϵġ
ΪѧӽѧˡѧһһӦģԴϵĸѧһ£۲ͼѧƵ⣬ѧdzģҲdzġDZȽϽӽʵģʵΪ˵IJģǿ˵κ˵IJжϾġ
˵ԼҲҪ˵Ϳˡ˼Щ
˹²ѧ𣿴ͲǿѧҰɣŷµļϵDzģΪһʵijϵ - posted on 07/26/2005
imac wrote:
̸̸ҵĿԴǼֵжϣһ롢ǰơڣѧǶԵĻǴġ롰ڿѧǶԵĻǴġ⡣;Լֵж˵ѧȻ漰ΪԴ漰Сµȸ˻ıѧ̸IJ˵ѧСʱͰ塣Ű˵ǡͶԴ˵ѧûСǡڿѧжУûжԴxw˵ģȻǺߡѧȻжϣֻжϲ˵ǸԼֵ
imac β
λԶǿׯӵġۡ
ׯӵġۡϲֱдúã״ʫ
Щ
Ҳϲ̸С顣
ѧֹǿѧۣҲҵʬ¯ը֮Ķ
ţٷΪӦãʱѧDz걸
ġзһ͵ѧ
ѧķչԴͷܴһDzѧҪĹ۲죬ɹ
ۣѧǺܲεġ
ҽѧΪһſѧܲ˵IJǺҪģβòҪԹ˾
ġǸ
ѧΪͳ߷ģòҪ¼ġ
ġѧָڽ̻֮ĵطҳ֡ۡ
㡣ʸһУƵʱ
ͻȻеʿµĿɹ
ҲϲѧѧҪѧѧʷȤ
- Re: 一代宗师黄昆 / 物理和数学的对与错posted on 07/26/2005
imacúѧͼֵжϵ⣬ȻýͿ磬漰͵ͨͨ˵ǶԻǴ⡣ԴȻԵģʱģֵжϵĶԴͬն - posted on 07/27/2005
۵ĸԴimac ܽرáҵǴDz⣬úõ뷨ҸдĸǿʶƵġһҪŬѧϰԼԱȷðĸһһֿȻдʫѧС˵ҲС
ǰ Hofstadter ΡԼѡǵֱӹء
Usually, we are not required to hold more than one level of understanding of a situation in our minds at once. Moreover, the different descriptions of a single system are usually so conceptually distant from each other that there is no problem in maintaining them both; they are just maintained in separate mental compartments. What is confusing, thought, is when a single system admits of two or more descriptions on different levels which nevertheless resemble each other in some way. Then we find it hard to avoid mixing levels when we think about the system, and can easily et totally lost.
... Our confusion about who we are is certainly related to the fact that we consist of a large set of levels, and we use overlapping language to describe ourselves on all of those levels. - posted on 07/27/2005
ӦÿѧԲдģ
Just saw a BBC documentary "Global Dimming", about how air pollution cools the temperature, and slows down the global warming. It is really scary to envision the disastrous future we leave for our children. I am so proud of those scientists who carry out the work in this area. This makes me feel especially guilty to leave science when there is so much urgent work to be done. But who cares about how much methane is on Mars--I study the atmospheric composition of the planets--when on Earth "ten thousand billion tons of methane would be released into the atmosphere" as a result of our ignorance of science and our insensibility to the future. Very difficult to look at things in perpective when our survival is at risk....
I made a copy of this film, and would be glad to share it with anyone who wants to watch it.
Wikipedia reference: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_dimming
----
NARRATOR: The models that everyone has been using to forecast climate change predict a maximum warming of 5 degrees by the end of the century. But Cox and his colleagues now fear those models may be wrong. Temperatures could rise twice as fast as they previously thought with irreversible damage just twenty-five years away.
DR PETER COX: If we don't do anything by about twenty thirty we could have a global warming of exceeding two degrees, and at that point it's believed the Greenland ice sheet would start to melt in a way that you wouldn't be able to stop it once it started it, it would melt. Take a long time to melt but ultimately it would lead to a sea level rise of seven or eight metres.
NARRATOR: Once the Greenland ice cap begins to melt, nothing will stop it. Many of the world's major cities will be living on borrowed time. Decade by decade, the risk of catastrophic flooding would increase inexorably. But unless action is taken it won't stop there. Because after Greenland, the world's tropical rainforests will start to wither in the heat.
DR PETER COX: 2040 it could be four degrees warmer, the climate change could have led to big drying particularly in the Amazon Basin, that would make the forest unsustainable, we'd expect the forest to catch fire probably, turn into savannah and maybe ultimately even desert if it gets really really dry as our model suggests.
NARRATOR: And as the rainforest burnt away, it would release vast amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, driving global warming still further. Cox calculates that in just a century, the world could be 10 degrees hotter, a warming more rapid than any in Earth history. If this were to happen, the landscape of England would be utterly transformed.
DR PETER COX: We're talking about a change from er a lush, moist climate, environment like this, to a North African climate in just a few decades or a hundred years.
NARRATOR: Most British plant species could not survive a North African climate. With vegetation dying everywhere, soil erosion would become a severe problem. From a green and pleasant land, England would become a country of extremes, with winter flooding giving way to summer dust storms. And it will be far worse elsewhere.
DR PETER COX: You can imagine ten degree warming in the UK in a hundred years is catastrophic. Ten degree warming in a hot country already makes it essentially uninhabitable.
NARRATOR: And just when one might think things could get no worse in the far North a ten degree warming might be enough to release a vast natural store of greenhouse gas bigger than all the oil and coal reserves of the planet.
DR PETER COX: We will be in danger of destabilising these things called methane hydrates which store a lot of methane at the bottom of the ocean in a kind of frozen form, ten thousand billions tons of this stuff, and they're known to be destabilised by warming.
NARRATOR: At this point, whatever we did to curb our emissions, it would be too late. Ten thousand billion tons of methane, a greenhouse gas eight times stronger than carbon dioxide, would be released into the atmosphere. The Earth's climate would be spinning out of control, heading towards temperatures unseen in four billion years. But this is not a prediction - it is a warning. It is what will happen if we clean up pollution while doing nothing about greenhouse gases. However, the easy solution - just keep on polluting and hope that Global Dimming will protect us - would be suicidal.
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