非洲最大的国家南非,最近发生政治地震:在任总统姆贝基被逼迫下台,十多名政府部长跟进辞职,南非股票大跌,政局更加动荡。
14年前白人种族政权被结束后,黑人最大政党“非洲民族议会”就一直掌权,前党主席姆贝基总统和现任党主席祖马也一直激烈争权。这次姆贝基败下阵来,明年四月的南非总统大选,在黑人占绝对多数,黑人政党主导南非政治的情况下,“非洲民族议会”主席祖马,基本就会是下届南非总统。
美国《华尔街日报》欧洲版社论编辑卡明斯基(Matthew Kaminski)不久前撰文“曼德拉之后”预测,南非今后走向,如不继续多种族共存的民主道路,就会走向命定的腐败和后马克思主义,或者更可怕的津巴布韦式的大灾难。
为什么南非会有这种可怕前景?这和黑人掌权后,曼德拉等反美、反西方的极左路线有直接关系。
●组织世界名人“老糊涂帮”
1993年,即将掌权的曼德拉在美国《外交事务》(Foreign Affairs)撰文说:“南非未来的对外政策将建立在我们对人权的信仰上。”可他当了总统之后不久,就和民主台湾断交,同时和中共建交。理由是南非要发展经济,需要中国的市场。
当年在白人统治下的南非,由于世界范围的经济制裁,经济困境远比曼德拉执政后的局面严重,但曼德拉当时却一直呼吁国际社会要经济制裁南非,虽然南非的穷人大多是黑人,他们因此生活会更加艰难。但曼德拉高喊,原则高于面包,人权高于市场。可他当了总统,就一切都变了,市场比原则重要了。我当年就在香港《开放》杂志撰文批评说,曼德拉刚从政治犯变成权力者,人权和面包的位置就颠倒了,可见“权力”这个被意大利女记者法拉奇称为“没人性和可恨的现象”对人的腐蚀有多么厉害。
但曼德拉并不仅仅是被权力腐蚀的,他的基本价值立场早就有问题。他当年唱道德高调,是想赢得西方左派的支持,但他从没把美国等民主国家真正当作朋友,而是把国际上那些反美、反西方的流氓政权头目视为“战友、同志”。美国《新共和》杂志主编助理柯奇克(James Kirchick)去年8月在《华尔街日报》发表题为“南非的背叛”一文指出,不幸的是,刚从监狱中被释放不久,曼德拉就去拥抱古巴的独裁者卡斯特罗。1991年在哈瓦那的共产党群众大会上,曼德拉高喊“卡斯特罗同志万岁!”1997年,在和台湾断交前夕,曼德拉又去朝拜世界上另一个臭名昭著的独裁者、利比亚的强人卡扎菲,亲切地称他为“我的兄弟领袖”(my brother leader)。后来又去拥抱连续掌权35年(超过毛泽东的27年)的巴勒斯坦独裁者阿拉法特,把这个曾进行过22年类似宾拉登那种恐怖主义的家伙称为“肩并肩的同志”(a comrade in arms)。《新共和》的编辑柯奇克感叹说,曼德拉当然知道这些事实:古巴、利比亚、巴勒斯坦的独裁者,对付他们的反对派,就像当年南非白人种族政权一样;可他对此却“泰然自若”。柯奇克的结论是,这已不仅仅是曼德拉的虚伪,而是背叛了他自己在27年牢狱磨难中强调的原则。
曼德拉卸任总统后,还不甘寂寞,近年又领导一个叫“老人帮”(The Elders)的组织,其成员多是曾有权势的政客,包括前联合国秘书长安南,被美国人称为最愚蠢的总统卡特,以粗鲁出名、被称为“红卫兵”的中国前外长李肇星等。这个“老人帮”宣称,他们将致力解决世界各地的危机。但自我讽刺的是,曼德拉领导的南非,凶杀、强奸率全球第一,艾滋感染者占人口12%,每年有1,100万人(占人口四分之一)遭抢劫、谋杀、强奸,被称为全球最危险之地,更别提经济一塌糊涂。而李肇星在美国以粗鲁、蛮横而频频出丑,连个大使都干下去了,别说解决世界危机。卡特的无能更是世人皆知,现美国正总统大选,提到卡特,就等于是失败的同义词。卡特不仅曾朝拜过卡斯特罗,当年还和苏共总书记勃列日涅夫“亲吻”,歌颂北韩的暴君金正日“有活力,有智慧”。不久前卡特还去给阿拉法特墓地献花,追悼这个连《纽约时报》左派专栏作家佛瑞德曼(Thomas Friedman)都称为“坏蛋”的独裁者。这么一个实为“老糊涂帮”的政客们,却高喊要解决世界危机,只能成为美国电视政治脱口秀节目的“笑料”。
●当今自由世界袒护独裁者的领袖
可曼德拉和他的接班人姆贝基总统相比,在反美、反西方上,只是小巫见大巫。姆贝基政府则在“战略上、系统上”倾向建立更广泛的反西方国际阵营。
被称为“非洲珍珠”的津巴布韦,由于穆加贝的独裁(已掌权28年,超过毛泽东),使该国陷入内部屠杀、混乱和经济灾难,年度通货膨胀率超过百分之十万,人均寿命只有34岁!不久前穆加贝还大规模没收白人拥有的农场,推行“黑人种族主义”。但联合国要讨论经济制裁津巴布韦时,却遭到非洲最大国家南非的阻挠。南非的姆贝基总统给穆加贝撑腰,因为他们都自视是反白人种族主义的“黑人解放者”。上述《新共和》编辑柯齐克说,“南非已成为当今自由世界中袒护独裁者的领袖”。
2006年,联合国安理会要通过谴责缅甸军政府的议案(要求他们释放政治犯,结束践踏人权),但南非却伙同俄国、中共,投票不许它通过。而在白人种族主义统治时,南非的黑人国民议会却是成天喊要制裁、要人权的。对此,连南非的诺奖得主图图大主教都惭愧地说,这样投票是“背叛了我们高贵的过去”。
在伊拉克问题上,南非的反美立场更加明显。当年就反对美国领衔的经济制裁萨达姆政权的努力,并反对英美在伊北部划分空中安全区(保护北部库德人不被萨达姆种族灭绝)。在伊战前夕,南非副外长帕哈德(Aziz Pahad)还前往巴格达,向萨达姆递交南非总统的信,“表达和伊拉克坚定并肩”。就是这个帕哈德,去年初还在叫喊,美国应该为当今世界的“冲突、危险和不可预测的环境”负责。
在巴勒斯坦问题上,曼德拉们一直力挺阿拉法特和哈马斯们,要求美国和欧洲取消对哈马斯主导的巴勒斯坦的经济制裁。《华尔街日报》报导说,在以色列和黎巴嫩真主党战争之后不久,南非情报部长卡斯瑞尔思(Ronnie Kasrils)还公开赞美这个恐怖组织对以色列的恐怖袭击。
在伊朗问题上,上述报导说,南非不断为伊朗发展核子武器的野心辩护,强调无条件支持德黑兰发展民用核子项目。伊朗的回报是提供石油,南非一半的进口石油来自伊朗。德黑兰还曾宣称已把发展核子的铀给了南非,但南非否认。去年初,联合国安理会好不容易达成美、英、中、法、德五个常任理事国一致同意,给伊朗九十天时间,如不停止核子项目,就考虑制裁。但南非却利用安理会轮值主席机会,试图阻挠这个议案。法国驻联合国大使后来说,南非的做法,削弱了国际社会的努力。
●曼德拉们给卡斯特罗发“人道奖”
南非的黑人曾遭受白人政权的种族歧视,受到国际性同情。但现在他们自己当家作主了,却歧视并迫害和他们同肤色的、来自津巴布韦的黑人难民。伦敦《泰晤士报》驻南非记者强森(R.W. Johnson)在“南非的耻辱”一文中说,由于穆加贝的独裁和屠杀,400万津巴布韦人逃到南非,结果遭到南非黑人的歧视,说抢了他们的饭碗。不久前南非全部九个省都爆发排斥外来黑人的大规模杀抢事件,结果50人被杀害,几千人受伤。该报导说,南非黑人的排外,并不新鲜,在过去两年,就有30名在南非做生意的索马里黑人店主被谋杀。
现在南非只有42%的人有工作。可南非卫生部长(曾说吃甜菜根和大蒜就可治疗艾滋病那位)却说(英国《卫报》引述),南非没有钱买药来对抗艾滋病,因为钱都用在买潜艇,准备防御美国的进攻了。而布什政府却给南非提供了150亿美元抗衡艾滋病。
曼德拉执政后,南非设立了人道主义奖“乌班图奖”,第一届的得主,给了曼德拉自己。今年的这个奖,竟颁给了古巴独裁者卡斯特罗,说表彰他“在全球争取正义的人道贡献”。而在卡斯特罗统治的古巴,据美联社的最新报导,现在还关押219名政治犯;仅2003年,就有75名政治异议人士被判刑(最多判了28年!)曾因政治异议而被关押27年的曼德拉,和至今还镇压政治异议者的独裁者卡斯特罗同得一个奖,本身已荒唐,而这个奖还是曼德拉们发的,真是典型的“政治闹剧”。
●倒退到“部落加马克思”的时代
但是,现在曼德拉早就不是总统了,他的继任者姆贝基也下台了,那么未来的南非总统是不是会好些?说来真是悲剧,和明年将出任总统的祖马相比,曼德拉和姆贝基,又都是小巫见大巫了。
上述《华尔街日报》的“曼德拉之后”文章说,姆贝基当年曾在英国留学和流亡,并在莫斯科的列宁学院读过政治理论,是个典型的马克思主义份子。但和祖马相比,他则算“绅士”了。祖马是当地的土著,从没受过正规教育,从小在街头打斗,后跟随“黑人革命军”总司令曼德拉造反,在监狱中,已是成人的祖马才跟曼德拉们学认字。他有四个妻子,18个孩子。他有唱歌般的嗓音,善于在群众集会以及丧礼上做演讲煽情,常在台上连唱带跳,台下的黑人支持者则如醉如痴。
在南非黑人那种“只问肤色,不管是非”的种族狂热中,祖马不仅是土著,皮肤黑,最有“黑人种族主义”意识形态和煽动力,更因为他更加左倾,因而当选了“非洲民族议会”主席,并把姆贝基赶下了台。姆贝基虽然也是极左分子,但他当了总统之后,就像巴西的左派总统卢拉一样,不得不修正政策,向市场经济靠近。像祖马一样的南非马克思主义者们,则痛恨姆贝基的“有南非特色的社会主义”经济政策,他们痛骂削减福利是出卖黑人,要回到传统的左派共产主义路线。本来“非洲民族议会”已在国会占绝对多数,还掌控全部九个省及绝大部分乡镇,被称为“一党制的南非”,他们还得到南非共产党、左翼全国总工会的支持,因此姆贝基如不辞职,也会被祖马们控制的国会罢免。祖马的手下黑人青年团,去年底就喊出要“杀掉”姆贝基。俗话说“秀才遇到兵,有理讲不清”,而在南非,那些擅长街头革命的粗野“祖马们”,更是谁都惹不起的主儿。
祖马曾涉嫌军火商贿案被起诉,官司还没结束;但他手下说,即使入狱,他也会当选总统,然后在牢里领导南非。祖马曾涉嫌强奸朋友的已感染艾滋病的女儿,最后他辩解说是双方同意的。
从曼德拉到姆贝基,南非奉行极左路线,一路反美、反西方。而明年如果祖马这样更左的粗野街头革命者上台,西方评论家说,南非可能倒退到“部落加马克思”的时代,这是刚庆祝完90岁生日的曼德拉留给南非的遗产。
- posted on 10/15/2008
Fortunately, history is not written by extreme ideologues like the author of this article. ;-)
Mandela's lagacy, and indeed his gift to the world, is that after almost 30 years of impresonment, he did not ask for revenge. Instead, his genuine effort at seeking reconcilation with the white minority produced the only stable true democracy in Africa. If all the troubled regions in other parts of the world had leaders as magnanimous as he is, we'd see a far better world than what it is. But all is not lost. He will always serve as a shining beacon for the years to come.
The rest of this piece of garbled rant is not worth a rebuttal.
- posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
Fortunately, history is not written by extreme ideologues like the author of this article. ;-)
Mandela's lagacy, and indeed his gift to the world, is that after almost 30 years of impresonment, he did not ask for revenge. Instead, his genuine effort at seeking reconcilation with the white minority produced the only stable true democracy in Africa. If all the troubled regions in other parts of the world had leaders as magnanimous as he is, we'd see a far better world than what it is. But all is not lost. He will always serve as a shining beacon for the years to come.
The rest of this piece of garbled rant is not worth a rebuttal.
Fully agree. - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
曼德拉是西方的宠物。但这样的宠物不一定就有助于西方正视过去的历史,正视自己对今天非洲的责任。当然,宠物能帮助自己的精神放松,或能成为一种道德解脱? - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
Who is "西方"? (Hint: you can't find the answer in your favorite Jingyong Kungfu novels. ;-))
令胡冲 wrote:
曼德拉是西方的宠物。但这样的宠物不一定就有助于西方正视过去的历史,正视自己对今天非洲的责任。当然,宠物能帮助自己的精神放松,或能成为一种道德解脱? - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
Who is "西方"? (Hint: you can't find the answer in your favorite Jingyong Kungfu novels. ;-))
You don't know who is "西方"? dear. I am quite amused you even heard of my your favorite Jingyong Kungfu novels - guess that's what you could understand about "东方" where you pretend not to have come from?? :-))
Hint: Did you ever hear of a Chinese proverb - 邯郸学步?:) - posted on 10/15/2008
Hmm, after all these years, your entire worldview and knowledge still come from those Jingyong books? Pretty sad if you ask me. ;-)
令胡冲 wrote:
tar wrote:You don't know who is "西方"? dear. I am quite amused you even heard of my your favorite Jingyong Kungfu novels - guess that's what you could understand about "东方" where you pretend not to have come from?? :-))
Who is "西方"? (Hint: you can't find the answer in your favorite Jingyong Kungfu novels. ;-))
Hint: Did you ever hear of a Chinese proverb - 邯郸学步?:) - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
Hmm, after all these years, your entire worldview and knowledge still come from those Jingyong books? Pretty sad if you ask me. ;-)
That's more than enough you could ever understand. Sorry I have to say so, man. :)
It's not upto what novels you read - it's upto who read them. - posted on 10/15/2008
Oh, one can only read those books his intelligence allows him to understand. No more need to be said.
BTW, a bit of advice: when you try to come back with a zinger in a witty repartee, at least make your sentences remotely resemble some logic, or otherwise it makes you look stupider. ;-)
令胡冲 wrote:
tar wrote:That's more than enough you could ever understand. Sorry I have to say so, man. :)
Hmm, after all these years, your entire worldview and knowledge still come from those Jingyong books? Pretty sad if you ask me. ;-)
It's not upto what novels you read - it's upto who read it. - posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
Oh, one can only read those books his intelligence allows him to understand. No more need to be said.
BTW, a bit of advice: when you try to come back with a zinger in a witty repartee, at least make your sentences remotely resemble some logic, or otherwise it makes you look stupider. ;-)
Do I need to look smart to talk to a stupidity? :)
Sometimes I did manage to convince myself I seem to be able to tell what is smart and what is stupid - but in the end I always found it's at most a stupid smart, or say, smart stupid :) I believe you still struggling to appreciate the apparent logic in it, aren't you. :) - posted on 10/15/2008
This gem is worth saving. ;-)
I will try to remember this thread.
令胡冲 wrote:
tar wrote:Do I need to look smart to talk to a stupidity? :)
Oh, one can only read those books his intelligence allows him to understand. No more need to be said.
BTW, a bit of advice: when you try to come back with a zinger in a witty repartee, at least make your sentences remotely resemble some logic, or otherwise it makes you look stupider. ;-)
Sometimes I did manage to convince myself I seem to be able to tell what is smart and what is stupid - but in the end I always found it's at most a stupid smart, or say, smart stupid :) - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
This gem is worth saving. ;-)
I will try to remember this thread.
:) You will, as usual. This is not the first time, is it. :) - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
You just spit out whatever in your mind don't you? Just look what you typed, if you aren't embarrassed, your intelligence is even less than what I gave you credit for. ;-)
令胡冲 wrote:
tar wrote::) You will, as usual. This is not the first time, is it. :)
This gem is worth saving. ;-)
I will try to remember this thread.
- Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
rep del - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
You just spit out whatever in your mind don't you? Just look what you typed, if you aren't embarrassed, your intelligence is even less than what I gave you credit for. ;-)
I would only be embarassed if I pretend I know you got anything that could be called intelligence. Is there any such I wish - maybe I should feel a bit embarassed right now. Should I :) - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
Are you sure this is what you intended to say? ;-)
令胡冲 wrote:
tar wrote:I would only be embarassed if I pretend I know you got any intelligence. Is there any such I wish - maybe I should feel a bit embarassed right now. Should I :)
You just spit out whatever in your mind don't you? Just look what you typed, if you aren't embarrassed, your intelligence is even less than what I gave you credit for. ;-)
- Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
Are you sure this is what you intended to say? ;-)
you bet. :) - posted on 10/15/2008
Then tell me what does it mean when you say "Is there any such I wish"?
tar wrote:
Are you sure this is what you intended to say? ;-)
令胡冲 wrote:
tar wrote:I would only be embarassed if I pretend I know you got any intelligence. Is there any such I wish - maybe I should feel a bit embarassed right now. Should I :)
You just spit out whatever in your mind don't you? Just look what you typed, if you aren't embarrassed, your intelligence is even less than what I gave you credit for. ;-)
- Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
Then tell me what does it mean when you say "Is there any such I wish"?
Is there any intelligence I wish you got.
- Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
You need to rewrite it again. This is still not English poeple can understand.
令胡冲 wrote:
tar wrote:Is there any intelligence I wish you got.
Then tell me what does it mean when you say "Is there any such I wish"?
- Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
tar wrote:
You need to rewrite it again. This is still not English poeple can understand.
Is it not? You managed to get yourself lost too, didn't u. :) - Re: 曼德拉留给南非的遗产posted on 10/15/2008
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