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- posted on 12/02/2008
I think this is a solid research paper, the Taiwas issue is well put into the context in which national identify, reunification, nationalism, cultural heritage, sino-US relations and current economic crisis are well defined and analyzed. The literature review is extensive, the author must have worked hard on this one.
One thing is noteworthy though, in addition to the big movers and shakers who have palyed important role in the past and will play important role in the future again, more attention should be paid to the public opinion of the Taiwanese people.I don't have the recent date, but according to my outdated poll numbers,majority of the people want to remain the status quo-not to go for independence or reunification right away.More people become pro-independence subsequent to two events: one was the Qiandao incident(a group of Taiwan tourists were killed by mainland gangers) and the Taiwan strait crisis 95-96 the author mentioned. But when the time passes by, the poll number return to normal curve.
Thus, it might be in the US interest to maintain the strategic ambiguity which helps to maintain the peace of the Taiwan Strait and leaves space for further talks. The policy will avoid a downward or upward spiral across the Taiwan strait.
p.s. communist China, the term is used a lot in the past, but I don't think
the rhetorical term should be used in academic paper to describe current China anymore. - posted on 12/02/2008
希拉蕊任国务卿 两岸政策将回归战略模糊
DWNEWS.COM-- 2008年12月1日21:2:44(京港台时间) --多维新闻网
(中央社记者刘坤原华盛顿1日专电)美国前第一夫人、纽约州联邦参议员希拉蕊.克林顿将出任国务卿。观察过去希拉蕊的发言,未来华府对美中贸易关系的立场可能趋硬,但对台湾海峡两岸议题则将回归战略模糊。
希拉蕊在民主党总统候选人提名初选期间,曾严词批评总统布什执政七年多,面对崛起的中国束手无策:美国1/3的贸易逆差来自中国;布什的政策使得中国手中握有大量的美国债券,成为美国的庄家;中国的钢铁出口到美国,使美国的就业机会转移到中国;市场上出售的满是含毒的中国海鲜和玩具。
她表示,如果她当选总统,这些状况都将改变,因为她知道怎样对付中国。
现在,希拉蕊没有当上总统,而要改当国务卿。虽然美国与中国之间的贸易不是国务卿的主管业务,但涉及两国关系的政策,她仍有一定的发言权。
这位前第一夫人还表示,她在国会曾共同领衔提出法案,要求行政当局采取积极的措施,阻止中国操纵汇率、改善贸易逆差、提高进口检查标准、及因应中国购买美国债券的问题
她强调,她有与中国打交道的亲身经验。她体验到,对付中国,在寻求共同点的同时,一定要站稳自己的立场。
至于希拉蕊对台湾的立场,在民主党初选期间,伦敦「金融时报」曾引述华府智库卡内基国际和平基金会(CarnegieEndowmentforInternationalPeace)中国问题专家史文(MichaelSwaine)的话说,希拉蕊两年前曾告诉他:「美国政府和美国人民永远不会为了台湾去打仗。」
希拉蕊阵营发言人随即澄清,指史文的说法未「精确反映」希拉蕊的立场。发言人说,希拉蕊「一向明确而一贯支持美国长期以来的政策,就是对于美国如何因应中国与台湾之间的军事冲突,保持战略模糊。」
战略模糊是1979年以来历任美国总统奉行的两岸政策。直到布什总统上任后,接受媒体访问时公开宣称,如果中国无故攻击台湾,美国将尽全力协助台湾自卫;但如果台湾宣布独立或挑衅北京,则违背美国「一个中国」政策,台湾将不能指望美国帮忙。美国的两岸政策从此转趋「战略明确」。
对于北京违反民主人权,希拉蕊则是因有亲身经验,而感受特别强烈。
希拉蕊在她的回忆录「活出历史(LivingHistory)」中,曾提到她在一九九五年九月代表美国赴北京,参加联合国第四届世界妇女会议时,感觉到在旅馆房间的谈话被监听。
她记得,在旅馆房间里向幕僚说,好几天没看报纸了,如果能有一份「国际前锋论坛报(InternationalHeraldTribune)」,那该有多好。结果几分钟之后,门房就来敲门,送来一份国际前锋论坛报;希拉蕊表示,她跟幕僚们都吓呆了。
后来幕僚苦中作乐,对着灯座大叫:「我要披萨;我要牛奶冰淇淋」,但却等不到门房来敲门,希拉蕊与幕僚们笑成一团。
此外,希拉蕊在大会中演讲时,强力抨击中国强制堕胎,结果记者室的闭路电视立即中断。
希拉蕊在这次民主党初选的一次演讲中,还特别提起她在北京演说遭到消音的不愉快经验。
此外,希拉蕊回忆录的中译本在中国发行时,中方竟然删除批评北京政权的章节;未删除的部份,则有10页遭到窜改。希拉蕊为此曾发表声明,表示「愤怒与震惊」。她说:「他们审查我的书,就好像试图审查我一样。」971201
- Re: [ZT]The Taiwan Issue in Sino-American Relations:posted on 12/02/2008
Thank you feming. I removed it.
feiming wrote: - posted on 12/02/2008
Too long, and too scholarly an article to trash on an internet forum. ;-)
Seriously though, can somebody summerize it for us lazy bodies? (I am bringing the famous tradition of another website to the cafe.)
rzp wrote:
Thank you feming. Will pass your comment to the author. He is currently a graduate student. I'll introduce more about him after I gather more comments.
Please all critics, observers, scholars, professors? more comments?
feiming wrote:
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